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Alcoa Corporation is projected to rise to $48.45 by 2027, a +8% move from its current price of $44.97. AA is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/31/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1 | $43.76 | $45.00 | $46.28 | +0.06% |
| Aug 2 | $43.28 | $45.03 | $46.84 | +0.12% |
| Aug 3 | $42.92 | $45.05 | $47.29 | +0.18% |
| Aug 4 | $42.63 | $45.08 | $47.68 | +0.25% |
| Aug 5 | $42.37 | $45.11 | $48.02 | +0.31% |
| Aug 6 | $42.14 | $45.14 | $48.34 | +0.37% |
| Aug 7 | $41.94 | $45.16 | $48.64 | +0.43% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $41.94 | $45.16 | $48.64 | +0.43% |
| Week 2 | $40.85 | $45.36 | $50.37 | +0.86% |
| Week 3 | $40.07 | $45.55 | $51.79 | +1.29% |
| Week 4 | $39.45 | $45.75 | $53.05 | +1.73% |
| Week 5 | $38.93 | $45.94 | $54.22 | +2.16% |
| Week 6 | $38.48 | $46.14 | $55.32 | +2.60% |
| Week 7 | $38.09 | $46.34 | $56.37 | +3.04% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Alcoa Corporation engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business. It operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum, and conducts activities across Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in May 2016.
Alcoa was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Alcoa Corporation (AA) trades at $43.98. The stock is positioned in the Basic Materials sector and carries a market cap of $11.61B, with a current rank of 809. These fundamentals reflect a large-cap industrial materials profile.
A major floor 31.0% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
The nearest floor, 4.6% below — buyers have tended to step in here.
The nearest ceiling, 37.3% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 86.3% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key AA support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of AA market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $44.11 | Buy | $44.34 | Buy |
| MA 10 | $44.38 | Buy | $44.99 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $46.52 | Sell | $47.40 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $58.25 | Sell | $53.99 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $61.77 | Sell | $57.13 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $56.05 | Sell | $54.57 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.08 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 100.00 | Sell |
| CCI (20) | -48.27 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -66.18 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | 0.49 | Buy |
| ROC (12) | -8.34 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.33 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 33.82 | Neutral |
| TRIX (15) | -1.15 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -7.14 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 45.63 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -1.88 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -88.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 43.70 | Buy |
| ADX (14) | 36.28 | Sell |
| ATR (14) | 1.29 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is BULLISH. The RSI14 is 20, with a SMA50 of $61.89 and a SMA200 of $55.62, indicating a mixed near-term balance of momentum and trend.
Key levels to watch are a support at $43.98 and a resistance at $78.02. The 30-day price range spans $35.85 to $53.96, and annualized volatility stands at 60%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42.88 | $44.97 | $61.20 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $38.55 | $48.45 | $64.44 | +8% | Neutral | |
| $39.14 | $50.65 | $70.00 | +13% | Neutral | |
| $49.46 | $65.55 | $93.35 | +46% | Bullish | |
| $54.12 | $73.26 | $106.97 | +63% | Bullish | |
| $56.88 | $78.50 | $117.13 | +75% | Bullish | |
| $60.20 | $84.58 | $128.69 | +88% | Bullish | |
| $58.01 | $82.88 | $128.37 | +84% | Bullish | |
| $62.12 | $90.18 | $141.96 | +101% | Bullish | |
| $66.21 | $97.59 | $155.95 | +117% | Bullish | |
| $87.43 | $138.13 | $235.10 | +207% | Bullish | |
| $172.86 | $307.87 | $574.23 | +585% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $42.88 | $44.97 | $52.49 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $39.92 | $46.87 | $56.35 | +4.23% |
| September 2026 | $40.15 | $47.55 | $57.95 | +1.44% |
| October 2026 | $39.41 | $47.00 | $57.89 | -1.17% |
| November 2026 | $39.89 | $47.84 | $59.45 | +1.79% |
| December 2026 | $40.53 | $48.86 | $61.20 | +2.14% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month AA forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
The AA price prediction for 2026 points to an average of $44.97 (low $42.88, high $61.20) — a potential gain of 0% on today's $44.97. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2027, AA is projected to trade between $38.55 and $64.44, averaging $48.45 — a potential gain of +8% from today's $44.97. That is up +8% on the projected 2026 average. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
Alcoa Corporation's 2028 outlook centres on $50.65, within a $39.14 to $70.00 range. That is up +5% on the projected 2027 average. That marks a +13% change versus current levels. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
By 2029, AA could reach as high as $93.35, with a base case around $65.55 and support toward $49.46 — roughly +46% from $44.97. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect AA to range from $54.12 to $106.97 through 2030. The $73.26 average target implies a +63% move from current prices. That is up +12% on the projected 2029 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The AA price prediction for 2031 points to an average of $78.50 (low $56.88, high $117.13) — a potential gain of +75% on today's $44.97. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2032, AA is projected to trade between $60.20 and $128.69, averaging $84.58 — a potential gain of +88% from today's $44.97. That is up +8% on the projected 2031 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Alcoa Corporation's 2033 outlook centres on $82.88, within a $58.01 to $128.37 range. That is -2% versus the projected 2032 average. That marks a +84% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2034, AA could reach as high as $141.96, with a base case around $90.18 and support toward $62.12 — roughly +101% from $44.97. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect AA to range from $66.21 to $155.95 through 2035. The $97.59 average target implies a +117% move from current prices. That is up +8% on the projected 2034 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The AA price prediction for 2040 points to an average of $138.13 (low $87.43, high $235.10) — a potential gain of +207% on today's $44.97. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2050, AA is projected to trade between $172.86 and $574.23, averaging $307.87 — a potential gain of +585% from today's $44.97. That is up +123% on the projected 2040 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Investing $1,000 in AA today (≈ 22.237047 AA) could be worth
$6,846.01
+$5,846.01 (+585%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected AA price of $307.87 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in AAwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in AA on Jul 30, 2025 (≈ 33.20053 AA) would be worth
$1,493.03
+$493.03 (+49.3%) today · 1.49× · US Dollar
Based on a AA entry price of $30.12 vs. today's $44.97.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $45.27 | $993.37 | -0.7% |
| 1 month ago | $52.14 | $862.49 | -13.8% |
| 3 months ago | $62.63 | $718.03 | -28.2% |
| 6 months ago | $56.81 | $791.59 | -20.8% |
| 1 year ago | $30.12 | $1,493.03 | +49.3% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $39.4 | $1,141.37 | +14.1% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our AA forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $90.00 around 2034.
Implied market cap at $90.00: $23.75B
The multi-year forecast suggests a shift from neutral in the early years to bullish thereafter. In 2029, the average price is $60.17 with a 36.8 ROI and bullish sentiment; by 2030, the average rises to $66.43 with a 51 ROI and bullish sentiment. The trajectory continues higher into 2040, with an average of $118.83 and a 170.2 ROI, and into 2050, with an average of $253.24 and a 475.8 ROI, both labeled bullish.
Maximizing the upside, the forecast also lists a 2040 max of $209.26 and a 2050 max of $491.71, underscoring substantial long-run upside under the stated assumptions. These projections imply meaningful upside should the modeled conditions hold, but they are estimates and not guarantees, with early years showing neutral signals before the later bullish expansion.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
The forecast shows an average price of $66.43 in 2030 with an ROI of 51 and a bullish sentiment.
The longer-term forecast shows bullish sentiment from 2029 onward, with average prices rising to $60.17 (2029), $66.43 (2030), $118.83 (2040), and $253.24 (2050), along with ROIs of 36.8, 51, 170.2, and 475.8, respectively. These are estimates and not guarantees.
Yes. The forecast maximums exceed $100, with a 2030 max of $99.23 and a 2032 max of $118.53, indicating it can surpass $100 in later years.
The 30-day range is from $35.85 to $53.96.
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