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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is projected to rise to $7.26 by 2027, a +10% move from its current price of $6.62. ARI is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 8/1/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2 | $6.52 | $6.62 | $6.72 | +0.02% |
| Aug 3 | $6.48 | $6.62 | $6.76 | +0.04% |
| Aug 4 | $6.45 | $6.62 | $6.80 | +0.06% |
| Aug 5 | $6.43 | $6.63 | $6.83 | +0.08% |
| Aug 6 | $6.41 | $6.63 | $6.85 | +0.10% |
| Aug 7 | $6.39 | $6.63 | $6.87 | +0.12% |
| Aug 8 | $6.37 | $6.63 | $6.90 | +0.14% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $6.37 | $6.63 | $6.90 | +0.14% |
| Week 2 | $6.28 | $6.64 | $7.02 | +0.27% |
| Week 3 | $6.21 | $6.65 | $7.12 | +0.41% |
| Week 4 | $6.15 | $6.66 | $7.20 | +0.55% |
| Week 5 | $6.10 | $6.67 | $7.28 | +0.69% |
| Week 6 | $6.06 | $6.67 | $7.35 | +0.83% |
| Week 7 | $6.02 | $6.68 | $7.42 | +0.96% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. The company is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code.
As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) is a Real Estate category asset with a current price of $6.50 and a market capitalization of $851.16M. It is ranked 2482 in the list of assets tracked here.
The current price aligns with a stock that has a defined 30-day technical picture and a long-run forecast path. The forecast shows potential upside across multiple years, with average prices rising from $6.50 in 2026 to $37.57 by 2050 and an implied progression in ROI from 0% to 478.1%.
A major floor 45.6% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (1.8% away) — a key level to hold.
The nearest ceiling, 64.8% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 87.6% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key ARI support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of ARI market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $6.63 | Sell | $6.66 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $6.72 | Sell | $7.02 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $8.20 | Sell | $7.87 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $9.78 | Sell | $9.17 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $10.27 | Sell | $9.82 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $10.23 | Sell | $10.07 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 18.33 | Buy |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 10.64 | Buy |
| CCI (20) | -61.11 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -97.08 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.09 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -37.19 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.28 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 2.92 | Buy |
| TRIX (15) | -1.44 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -2.60 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 25.14 | Buy |
| Momentum (10) | -0.36 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -92.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 6.54 | Buy |
| ADX (14) | 46.39 | Sell |
| ATR (14) | 0.21 | Info |
The near-term technical picture is Neutral, with RSI14 at 10. The price is below both the SMA50 ($9.86) and the SMA200 ($10.24), suggesting limited near-term upside based on these moving averages. Support is stated at $6.50 and resistance at $10.91, framing a 30-day range from $5.89 to $7.17. The asset exhibits about 30% annualized volatility.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6.50 | $6.62 | $8.52 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $5.95 | $7.26 | $9.25 | +10% | Neutral | |
| $6.66 | $8.27 | $10.83 | +25% | Bullish | |
| $6.71 | $8.46 | $11.32 | +28% | Bullish | |
| $6.89 | $8.82 | $12.01 | +33% | Bullish | |
| $8.17 | $10.58 | $14.64 | +60% | Bullish | |
| $9.32 | $12.20 | $17.12 | +84% | Bullish | |
| $10.08 | $13.34 | $18.97 | +102% | Bullish | |
| $10.40 | $13.90 | $19.99 | +110% | Bullish | |
| $10.57 | $14.26 | $20.75 | +115% | Bullish | |
| $15.83 | $22.27 | $33.96 | +236% | Bullish | |
| $24.99 | $37.73 | $61.68 | +470% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | $6.50 | $6.62 | $8.08 | +0.00% |
| September 2026 | $5.76 | $6.75 | $8.09 | +1.96% |
| October 2026 | $5.72 | $6.74 | $8.14 | -0.15% |
| November 2026 | $5.85 | $6.92 | $8.41 | +2.62% |
| December 2026 | $5.88 | $6.98 | $8.52 | +0.86% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month ARI forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
The ARI price prediction for 2026 points to an average of $6.62 (low $6.50, high $8.52) — a potential gain of 0% on today's $6.62. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2027, ARI is projected to trade between $5.95 and $9.25, averaging $7.26 — a potential gain of +10% from today's $6.62. That is up +10% on the projected 2026 average. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 2028 outlook centres on $8.27, within a $6.66 to $10.83 range. That is up +14% on the projected 2027 average. That marks a +25% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2029, ARI could reach as high as $11.32, with a base case around $8.46 and support toward $6.71 — roughly +28% from $6.62. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect ARI to range from $6.89 to $12.01 through 2030. The $8.82 average target implies a +33% move from current prices. That is up +4% on the projected 2029 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The ARI price prediction for 2031 points to an average of $10.58 (low $8.17, high $14.64) — a potential gain of +60% on today's $6.62. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2032, ARI is projected to trade between $9.32 and $17.12, averaging $12.20 — a potential gain of +84% from today's $6.62. That is up +15% on the projected 2031 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 2033 outlook centres on $13.34, within a $10.08 to $18.97 range. That is up +9% on the projected 2032 average. That marks a +102% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2034, ARI could reach as high as $19.99, with a base case around $13.90 and support toward $10.40 — roughly +110% from $6.62. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect ARI to range from $10.57 to $20.75 through 2035. The $14.26 average target implies a +115% move from current prices. That is up +3% on the projected 2034 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The ARI price prediction for 2040 points to an average of $22.27 (low $15.83, high $33.96) — a potential gain of +236% on today's $6.62. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2050, ARI is projected to trade between $24.99 and $61.68, averaging $37.73 — a potential gain of +470% from today's $6.62. That is up +69% on the projected 2040 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Investing $1,000 in ARI today (≈ 151.057402 ARI) could be worth
$5,699.95
+$4,699.95 (+470%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected ARI price of $37.73 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in ARIwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in ARI on Jul 31, 2025 (≈ 103.950105 ARI) would be worth
$688.15
-$311.85 (-31.2%) today · 0.69× · US Dollar
Based on a ARI entry price of $9.62 vs. today's $6.62.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $6.77 | $977.84 | -2.2% |
| 1 month ago | $10.54 | $628.08 | -37.2% |
| 3 months ago | $11.04 | $599.64 | -40.0% |
| 6 months ago | $10.78 | $614.1 | -38.6% |
| 1 year ago | $9.62 | $688.15 | -31.2% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $15.08 | $438.99 | -56.1% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our ARI forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $13.00 around 2033.
Implied market cap at $13.00: $1.7B
The multi-year forecast shows a gradual upward trajectory from 2026 onward. In 2026 the min, avg, and max are $6.50, $6.50, and $8.37 respectively, with a 0% ROI and Neutral sentiment. By 2030 the avg is $8.71 with a max of $11.86 and a 34% ROI, Bullish sentiment.
The sequence continues with 2031 avg $10.49 (61.4% ROI) and 2032 avg $12.08 (85.8% ROI), followed by 2033 avg $13.21 (103.2% ROI), 2034 avg $13.78 (112.1% ROI), and 2035 avg $14.14 (117.5% ROI), all Bullish. Looking further ahead, 2040 shows an avg of $22.17 (ROI 241%), and 2050 shows an avg of $37.57 (ROI 478.1%), both Bullish. These are estimates and not guarantees, with higher upside in the later years implied by the data.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
2030 min $6.81, avg $8.71, max $11.86, ROI 34, sentiment BULLISH.
The forecast shows a path from Neutral in 2026 to Bullish in later years, with the avg price rising to $37.57 and ROI reaching 478.1% by 2050.
Yes. The 2035 forecast shows a max of $20.56 and an avg of $14.14, indicating potential to exceed $15 within the 2035 horizon.
Current price is $6.50 and market capitalization is $851.16M.
2050 is the most bullish forecast year, with avg $37.57, max $61.42, ROI 478.1, sentiment BULLISH.
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