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Accelerant Holdings is projected to rise to $11.90 by 2027, a +6% move from its current price of $11.20. ARX is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/31/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1 | $10.71 | $11.21 | $11.73 | +0.08% |
| Aug 2 | $10.52 | $11.22 | $11.96 | +0.17% |
| Aug 3 | $10.38 | $11.23 | $12.14 | +0.25% |
| Aug 4 | $10.26 | $11.24 | $12.30 | +0.33% |
| Aug 5 | $10.16 | $11.25 | $12.44 | +0.42% |
| Aug 6 | $10.07 | $11.26 | $12.58 | +0.50% |
| Aug 7 | $9.99 | $11.27 | $12.70 | +0.58% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $9.99 | $11.27 | $12.70 | +0.58% |
| Week 2 | $9.56 | $11.33 | $13.42 | +1.17% |
| Week 3 | $9.26 | $11.40 | $14.02 | +1.76% |
| Week 4 | $9.02 | $11.46 | $14.57 | +2.35% |
| Week 5 | $8.82 | $11.53 | $15.07 | +2.95% |
| Week 6 | $8.65 | $11.60 | $15.55 | +3.55% |
| Week 7 | $8.50 | $11.66 | $16.02 | +4.15% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Accelerant Holdings (ARX) is a Financial Services company that operates a data-driven risk exchange, connecting selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners. It runs through Exchange Services, MGA Operations, and Underwriting segments, with the Risk capital partners writing premiums directly through the Risk Exchange and paying a fixed-percentage, volume-based fee for sourcing, managing, and monitoring the business they write. Accelerant Holdings was founded in 2018 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.
The company serves small-to-medium sized commercial clients across the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and the United Kingdom, delivering property and casualty insurance, policy issuance, and reinsurance arrangements through its activities in the insurance space.
Accelerant Holdings trades as ARX in the Financial Services sector. The current price is $11.20 with a market cap of $2.44B, and it holds a market-rank position of 1774. The latest price outlook is framed by a multi-year forecast that shows upside potential, with average annual prices rising meaningfully through 2050 and a corresponding increase in ROI across multiple years.
The 30-year forecast provides a path from neutral near-term levels toward substantial longer-term gains, reflected in higher average prices and double- or triple-digit ROI in later years. While near-term readings show modest movement, the longer horizon paints a bullish trajectory for ARX.
A major floor 21.0% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (0.0% away) — a key level to hold.
The nearest ceiling, 31.4% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 54.0% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key ARX support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of ARX market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $13.43 | Sell | $12.83 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $13.50 | Sell | $13.21 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $13.33 | Sell | $13.33 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $14.00 | Sell | $13.54 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $13.55 | Sell | $13.73 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $13.53 | Sell | $14.99 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 35.31 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 0.00 | Buy |
| CCI (20) | -236.48 | Sell |
| Williams %R (14) | -100.00 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.10 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -11.60 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | -0.17 | Buy |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 0.00 | Buy |
| TRIX (15) | -0.05 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | 0.24 | Buy |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 32.92 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -2.76 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -8.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 12.99 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 13.61 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.57 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is mixed but leaning toward neutrality. The RSI14 sits at 40, indicating room to move without being overbought. The 50-day simple moving average is $14.00 and the 200-day simple moving average is $13.53, placing the current price between these trend lines.
Support is identified at $11.20, with resistance at $14.72. Over the next 30 days, the price has traded in a range from $8.31 to $15.10, signaling volatility but with a floor near the current price and upside potential if momentum shifts.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $9.36 | $11.20 | $15.59 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $8.49 | $11.90 | $18.06 | +6% | Neutral | |
| $10.35 | $15.56 | $25.32 | +39% | Bullish | |
| $11.38 | $18.15 | $31.13 | +62% | Bullish | |
| $10.14 | $17.07 | $30.58 | +52% | Bullish | |
| $9.47 | $16.79 | $31.21 | +50% | Bullish | |
| $8.98 | $16.72 | $32.13 | +49% | Bullish | |
| $9.32 | $18.19 | $35.99 | +62% | Bullish | |
| $10.95 | $22.41 | $45.53 | +100% | Bullish | |
| $11.29 | $24.19 | $50.35 | +116% | Bullish | |
| $14.13 | $31.40 | $72.22 | +180% | Bullish | |
| $22.82 | $50.71 | $116.63 | +353% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $9.36 | $11.20 | $13.14 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $9.44 | $11.36 | $14.18 | +1.42% |
| September 2026 | $9.86 | $12.08 | $15.50 | +6.35% |
| October 2026 | $9.68 | $12.04 | $15.78 | -0.36% |
| November 2026 | $9.05 | $11.40 | $15.21 | -5.27% |
| December 2026 | $9.03 | $11.51 | $15.59 | +0.91% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month ARX forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
Accelerant Holdings's 2026 outlook centres on $11.20, within a $9.36 to $15.59 range. That marks a 0% change versus current levels. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
By 2027, ARX could reach as high as $18.06, with a base case around $11.90 and support toward $8.49 — roughly +6% from $11.20. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
Expect ARX to range from $10.35 to $25.32 through 2028. The $15.56 average target implies a +39% move from current prices. That is up +31% on the projected 2027 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The ARX price prediction for 2029 points to an average of $18.15 (low $11.38, high $31.13) — a potential gain of +62% on today's $11.20. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2030, ARX is projected to trade between $10.14 and $30.58, averaging $17.07 — a potential gain of +52% from today's $11.20. That is -6% versus the projected 2029 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Accelerant Holdings's 2031 outlook centres on $16.79, within a $9.47 to $31.21 range. That is -2% versus the projected 2030 average. That marks a +50% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2032, ARX could reach as high as $32.13, with a base case around $16.72 and support toward $8.98 — roughly +49% from $11.20. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect ARX to range from $9.32 to $35.99 through 2033. The $18.19 average target implies a +62% move from current prices. That is up +9% on the projected 2032 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The ARX price prediction for 2034 points to an average of $22.41 (low $10.95, high $45.53) — a potential gain of +100% on today's $11.20. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2035, ARX is projected to trade between $11.29 and $50.35, averaging $24.19 — a potential gain of +116% from today's $11.20. That is up +8% on the projected 2034 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Accelerant Holdings's 2040 outlook centres on $31.40, within a $14.13 to $72.22 range. That is up +30% on the projected 2035 average. That marks a +180% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2050, ARX could reach as high as $116.63, with a base case around $50.71 and support toward $22.82 — roughly +353% from $11.20. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Investing $1,000 in ARX today (≈ 89.285714 ARX) could be worth
$4,527.39
+$3,527.39 (+353%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected ARX price of $50.71 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in ARXwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in ARX on Jul 30, 2025 (≈ 36.791758 ARX) would be worth
$412.07
-$587.93 (-58.8%) today · 0.41× · US Dollar
Based on a ARX entry price of $27.18 vs. today's $11.2.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $13.77 | $813.36 | -18.7% |
| 1 month ago | $11.72 | $955.63 | -4.4% |
| 3 months ago | $13.09 | $855.61 | -14.4% |
| 6 months ago | $13.66 | $819.91 | -18.0% |
| 1 year ago | $27.18 | $412.07 | -58.8% |
| All time (1.0y) ago | $26.5 | $422.64 | -57.7% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our ARX forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $22.00 around 2034.
Implied market cap at $22.00: $2.48B
The multi-year forecast highlights a bullish trajectory with notable year-by-year upside. In 2030, the average price is forecast at $17.07 with a maximum of $30.58 and a minimum of $10.14, delivering a 52.4% return on investment. The sentiment for 2030 is bullish, aligning with a broader upward trajectory through the decade.
By 2040, the forecast shows an average of $31.40 and a maximum of $72.22, with an estimated ROI of 180.3% and a bullish sentiment. The data points to substantial appreciation from the 2030 level as time progresses, supported by the ongoing bullish stance into the 2040s.
Looking ahead to 2050, ARX is forecast to average $50.71, with a high of $116.63 and a low of $22.82, and a projected ROI of 352.7% in a bullish environment. These figures illustrate a strong long-term upside, though they reflect estimates and are not guarantees. Investors should consider the near-term neutral readings and the potential for volatility alongside the long-run upside.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
In 2030, the forecasted average price is $17.07 with a minimum of $10.14 and a maximum of $30.58, and the ROI is 52.4%. The sentiment for 2030 is bullish.
The forecast shows a bullish trajectory from 2028 onward, with the average price rising to $50.71 by 2050 and an ROI of 352.7%. Near term readings are neutral, so potential investors should weigh the longer-term upside against near-term uncertainty.
Yes, the forecast for 2050 shows an average price of $50.71, with a high of $116.63 and a low of $22.82, and an ROI of 352.7%. This reflects a bullish long-term outlook.
The 30-day picture shows neutral sentiment with RSI 14 at 40. The price is between the SMA50 of $14.00 and the SMA200 of $13.53, with a 30-day range from $8.31 to $15.10 and support at $11.20 and resistance at $14.72.
The current price is $11.20 and the market capitalization is $2.44B, with a market-rank of 1774.
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