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Ellington Financial Inc. is projected to rise to $16.39 by 2027, a +22% move from its current price of $13.49. EFC is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean buy.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/31/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1 | $13.40 | $13.49 | $13.58 | 0.00% |
| Aug 2 | $13.36 | $13.49 | $13.62 | -0.01% |
| Aug 3 | $13.33 | $13.49 | $13.65 | -0.01% |
| Aug 4 | $13.30 | $13.49 | $13.68 | -0.01% |
| Aug 5 | $13.28 | $13.49 | $13.70 | -0.01% |
| Aug 6 | $13.26 | $13.49 | $13.72 | -0.02% |
| Aug 7 | $13.24 | $13.49 | $13.74 | -0.02% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $13.24 | $13.49 | $13.74 | -0.02% |
| Week 2 | $13.14 | $13.49 | $13.84 | -0.04% |
| Week 3 | $13.06 | $13.48 | $13.92 | -0.06% |
| Week 4 | $12.99 | $13.48 | $13.99 | -0.07% |
| Week 5 | $12.93 | $13.48 | $14.05 | -0.09% |
| Week 6 | $12.88 | $13.48 | $14.10 | -0.11% |
| Week 7 | $12.83 | $13.47 | $14.15 | -0.13% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Ellington Financial Inc. is a real estate investment trust that acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States.
It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Longbridge, and it invests in a wide range of mortgage- and asset-backed securities, including RMBS backed by prime jumbo, Alt-A, non-QM, manufactured housing, subprime residential, and single-family-rental mortgage loans, as well as residential and commercial mortgage loans, residential mortgage-backed securities, commercial mortgage-backed securities, consumer loans and asset-backed securities, and related derivatives and investments.
The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes and intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Ellington Financial was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Old Greenwich, Connecticut.
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) trades at a current price of $13.45 and has a market cap of $1.71B, with a rank of 2075.
The stock is categorized in Real Estate and has a price outlook reflected in a year-by-year forecast. The forecast shows a path of upside from 2026 onward, with 2027 averaging $16.28 and 2030 averaging $21.44, rising further to 2040 averaging $61.77 and 2050 averaging $111.73.
Forecasts also show a range for each year (min/max) and accompanying ROI figures, for example 2027 min $13.35 / avg $16.28 / max $20.77 with ROI 21.1, and 2030 min $16.75 / avg $21.44 / max $29.20 with ROI 59.4. The long horizon suggests meaningful upside with higher ROIs in 2040 (359.3) and 2050 (730.7).
A major floor 14.7% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (1.6% away) — a key level to hold.
Price is pressing into resistance (1.6% away) — a breakout level to watch.
A major ceiling 3.2% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key EFC support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of EFC market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $13.45 | Buy | $13.46 | Buy |
| MA 10 | $13.44 | Buy | $13.47 | Buy |
| MA 20 | $13.50 | Sell | $13.49 | Buy |
| MA 50 | $13.52 | Sell | $13.43 | Buy |
| MA 100 | $13.04 | Buy | $13.29 | Buy |
| MA 200 | $13.22 | Buy | $13.20 | Buy |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 50.11 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 55.52 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -5.23 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -51.16 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.01 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -0.95 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.48 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 48.84 | Neutral |
| TRIX (15) | -0.01 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.08 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 49.21 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -0.21 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -24.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 13.49 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 7.91 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.09 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is bullish in sentiment. The RSI14 sits at 50, with the 50-day simple moving average at $13.52 and the 200-day simple moving average at $13.22.
Key support is listed at $13.30 and resistance at $13.71, framing a tight near-term range. The 30-day range spans from $12.84 to $14.08, indicating limited downside risk near current levels.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11.30 | $13.49 | $17.53 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $13.44 | $16.39 | $20.89 | +22% | Bullish | |
| $15.23 | $18.93 | $24.78 | +40% | Bullish | |
| $15.43 | $19.48 | $26.06 | +44% | Bullish | |
| $17.28 | $22.11 | $30.12 | +64% | Bullish | |
| $21.18 | $27.43 | $37.95 | +103% | Bullish | |
| $23.68 | $31.01 | $43.52 | +130% | Bullish | |
| $26.97 | $35.69 | $50.74 | +165% | Bullish | |
| $29.25 | $39.10 | $56.25 | +190% | Bullish | |
| $29.67 | $40.03 | $58.24 | +197% | Bullish | |
| $47.95 | $67.49 | $102.90 | +400% | Bullish | |
| $81.22 | $122.62 | $200.44 | +809% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $11.30 | $13.49 | $15.71 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $11.49 | $13.39 | $15.91 | -0.72% |
| September 2026 | $11.48 | $13.46 | $16.14 | +0.48% |
| October 2026 | $11.86 | $13.97 | $16.88 | +3.83% |
| November 2026 | $12.07 | $14.27 | $17.35 | +2.12% |
| December 2026 | $12.09 | $14.34 | $17.53 | +0.50% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month EFC forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
In 2026, EFC is projected to trade between $11.30 and $17.53, averaging $13.49 — a potential gain of 0% from today's $13.49. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
Ellington Financial Inc.'s 2027 outlook centres on $16.39, within a $13.44 to $20.89 range. That is up +22% on the projected 2026 average. That marks a +22% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2028, EFC could reach as high as $24.78, with a base case around $18.93 and support toward $15.23 — roughly +40% from $13.49. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect EFC to range from $15.43 to $26.06 through 2029. The $19.48 average target implies a +44% move from current prices. That is up +3% on the projected 2028 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The EFC price prediction for 2030 points to an average of $22.11 (low $17.28, high $30.12) — a potential gain of +64% on today's $13.49. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2031, EFC is projected to trade between $21.18 and $37.95, averaging $27.43 — a potential gain of +103% from today's $13.49. That is up +24% on the projected 2030 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Ellington Financial Inc.'s 2032 outlook centres on $31.01, within a $23.68 to $43.52 range. That is up +13% on the projected 2031 average. That marks a +130% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2033, EFC could reach as high as $50.74, with a base case around $35.69 and support toward $26.97 — roughly +165% from $13.49. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect EFC to range from $29.25 to $56.25 through 2034. The $39.10 average target implies a +190% move from current prices. That is up +10% on the projected 2033 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The EFC price prediction for 2035 points to an average of $40.03 (low $29.67, high $58.24) — a potential gain of +197% on today's $13.49. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2040, EFC is projected to trade between $47.95 and $102.90, averaging $67.49 — a potential gain of +400% from today's $13.49. That is up +69% on the projected 2035 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Ellington Financial Inc.'s 2050 outlook centres on $122.62, within a $81.22 to $200.44 range. That is up +82% on the projected 2040 average. That marks a +809% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
Investing $1,000 in EFC today (≈ 74.128984 EFC) could be worth
$9,089.91
+$8,089.91 (+809%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected EFC price of $122.62 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in EFCwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in EFC on Jul 30, 2025 (≈ 77.101001 EFC) would be worth
$1,040.09
+$40.09 (+4.0%) today · 1.04× · US Dollar
Based on a EFC entry price of $12.97 vs. today's $13.49.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $13.28 | $1,015.81 | +1.6% |
| 1 month ago | $13.61 | $991.18 | -0.9% |
| 3 months ago | $13.24 | $1,018.88 | +1.9% |
| 6 months ago | $12.85 | $1,049.81 | +5.0% |
| 1 year ago | $12.97 | $1,040.09 | +4.0% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $18.01 | $749.03 | -25.1% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our EFC forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $27.00 around 2031.
Implied market cap at $27.00: $3.39B
The multi-year forecast portrays a steady ascent from 2026 through 2050, with rising average prices and increasingly larger ROIs. In 2030 the avg price is $21.44 with a ROI of 59.4, signaling notable appreciation from today’s level. By 2040 the avg price is $61.77 with a ROI of 359.3, and by 2050 the avg price reaches $111.73 with a ROI of 730.7, underscoring substantial long-term upside if trends persist.
Earlier and intermediate years also show growth: 2027 avg $16.28 (ROI 21.1), 2028 avg $18.38 (ROI 36.6), 2029 avg $18.90 (ROI 40.5), and 2031–2035 continuing the bullish trajectory, with 2031 avg $26.08 (ROI 93.9), 2032 avg $29.36 (ROI 118.3), 2033 avg $33.86 (ROI 151.7), 2034 avg $36.73 (ROI 173.1), and 2035 avg $37.46 (ROI 178.5).
These are estimates, not guarantees, and actual results will depend on market conditions and portfolio performance. There is uncertainty and downside risk, even as the forecast shows strong long-run upside.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
Avg price $21.44; min $16.75; max $29.20; ROI 59.4; sentiment BULLISH.
The year-by-year forecast shows bullish sentiment starting in 2027 with avg prices rising to $16.28 in 2027 and to $21.44 in 2030, accompanied by ROIs of 21.1 and 59.4 respectively, and continuing higher through 2040 and 2050 with substantial upside.
Yes. The 2050 forecast lists an avg price of $111.73 with min $73.99 and max $182.65, and ROI of 730.7.
Current price $13.45; 30-day range $12.84-$14.08.
Market cap $1.71B; rank 2075.
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