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Octave Specialty Group, Inc. is projected to rise to $5.93 by 2027, a +10% move from its current price of $5.40. OSG is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 8/2/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3 | $5.27 | $5.40 | $5.53 | -0.03% |
| Aug 4 | $5.21 | $5.40 | $5.59 | -0.06% |
| Aug 5 | $5.17 | $5.40 | $5.63 | -0.09% |
| Aug 6 | $5.13 | $5.39 | $5.67 | -0.12% |
| Aug 7 | $5.10 | $5.39 | $5.70 | -0.15% |
| Aug 8 | $5.07 | $5.39 | $5.73 | -0.18% |
| Aug 9 | $5.04 | $5.39 | $5.76 | -0.21% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $5.04 | $5.39 | $5.76 | -0.21% |
| Week 2 | $4.90 | $5.38 | $5.90 | -0.43% |
| Week 3 | $4.78 | $5.37 | $6.02 | -0.64% |
| Week 4 | $4.69 | $5.35 | $6.11 | -0.85% |
| Week 5 | $4.61 | $5.34 | $6.19 | -1.06% |
| Week 6 | $4.53 | $5.33 | $6.27 | -1.27% |
| Week 7 | $4.47 | $5.32 | $6.34 | -1.48% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company that primarily engages in the specialty property and casualty insurance business in the United States and the United Kingdom.
It operates in two segments: Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance; and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. The Insurance Distribution segment offers property, niche specialty risk, accident and health, miscellaneous specialty, reinsurance, surety, marine and energy, specialty auto, excess and surplus lines commercial package, professional lines, and directors' and officers' insurance.
The company was formerly known as Ambac Financial Group, Inc. and changed its name to Octave Specialty Group, Inc. in November 2025; it was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
OSG trades under the symbol OSG. The current price is $5.40 and the market cap is $243.07M, with a rank of 3628.
The forecast outlines a price path from a 2026 avg of $5.40 to a 2050 avg of $21.46, with a long-run upside implied by an avg of $21.46 and a max of $38.40 by 2050. The near-term path includes a 2026 ROI of 0% (neutral sentiment) and stronger upside in later years, culminating in a 2050 ROI of 297.4% (bullish sentiment).
A major floor 27.0% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (0.0% away) — a key level to hold.
The nearest ceiling, 23.5% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 31.4% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key OSG support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of OSG market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $5.64 | Sell | $5.59 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $5.73 | Sell | $5.70 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $5.93 | Sell | $5.82 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $5.82 | Sell | $5.77 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $5.33 | Buy | $5.78 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $6.37 | Sell | $6.33 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.05 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 0.00 | Buy |
| CCI (20) | -149.75 | Sell |
| Williams %R (14) | -100.00 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.07 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -7.06 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.02 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 0.00 | Buy |
| TRIX (15) | -0.04 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.34 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 31.02 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -0.71 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -96.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 5.57 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 13.51 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.14 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is currently BEARISH, with RSI14 at 40 and the price trading below key moving averages (SMA50 at $5.82 and SMA200 at $6.37). A solid near-term support rests at $5.40 and resistance at $6.67.
The 30-day range spans from $4.58 to $6.37, indicating a choppy trading window with a bias toward testing the support at $5.40 or challenging the resistance at $6.67. The stock also exhibits elevated volatility, with annualized volatility around 50%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3.94 | $5.40 | $6.70 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $4.76 | $5.93 | $7.77 | +10% | Neutral | |
| $4.70 | $6.01 | $8.16 | +11% | Neutral | |
| $4.61 | $6.02 | $8.40 | +11% | Neutral | |
| $4.70 | $6.24 | $8.91 | +16% | Neutral | |
| $5.16 | $6.97 | $10.16 | +29% | Bullish | |
| $6.11 | $8.38 | $12.43 | +55% | Bullish | |
| $6.23 | $8.68 | $13.07 | +61% | Bullish | |
| $6.39 | $9.02 | $13.80 | +67% | Bullish | |
| $6.74 | $9.64 | $14.95 | +79% | Bullish | |
| $9.25 | $14.05 | $23.10 | +160% | Bullish | |
| $12.76 | $21.46 | $38.40 | +297% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | $3.94 | $5.40 | $6.49 | +0.00% |
| September 2026 | $4.47 | $5.27 | $6.39 | -2.39% |
| October 2026 | $4.42 | $5.25 | $6.43 | -0.36% |
| November 2026 | $4.52 | $5.39 | $6.65 | +2.64% |
| December 2026 | $4.50 | $5.39 | $6.70 | +0.02% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month OSG forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc.'s 2026 outlook centres on $5.40, within a $3.94 to $6.70 range. That marks a 0% change versus current levels. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
By 2027, OSG could reach as high as $7.77, with a base case around $5.93 and support toward $4.76 — roughly +10% from $5.40. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
Expect OSG to range from $4.70 to $8.16 through 2028. The $6.01 average target implies a +11% move from current prices. That is up +1% on the projected 2027 average. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
The OSG price prediction for 2029 points to an average of $6.02 (low $4.61, high $8.40) — a potential gain of +11% on today's $5.40. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2030, OSG is projected to trade between $4.70 and $8.91, averaging $6.24 — a potential gain of +16% from today's $5.40. That is up +4% on the projected 2029 average. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc.'s 2031 outlook centres on $6.97, within a $5.16 to $10.16 range. That is up +12% on the projected 2030 average. That marks a +29% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2032, OSG could reach as high as $12.43, with a base case around $8.38 and support toward $6.11 — roughly +55% from $5.40. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect OSG to range from $6.23 to $13.07 through 2033. The $8.68 average target implies a +61% move from current prices. That is up +3% on the projected 2032 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The OSG price prediction for 2034 points to an average of $9.02 (low $6.39, high $13.80) — a potential gain of +67% on today's $5.40. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2035, OSG is projected to trade between $6.74 and $14.95, averaging $9.64 — a potential gain of +79% from today's $5.40. That is up +7% on the projected 2034 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc.'s 2040 outlook centres on $14.05, within a $9.25 to $23.10 range. That is up +46% on the projected 2035 average. That marks a +160% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2050, OSG could reach as high as $38.40, with a base case around $21.46 and support toward $12.76 — roughly +297% from $5.40. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Investing $1,000 in OSG today (≈ 185.185185 OSG) could be worth
$3,974.43
+$2,974.43 (+297%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected OSG price of $21.46 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in OSGwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in OSG on Jul 31, 2025 (≈ 119.047624 OSG) would be worth
$642.86
-$357.14 (-35.7%) today · 0.64× · US Dollar
Based on a OSG entry price of $8.4 vs. today's $5.4.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $5.59 | $966.01 | -3.4% |
| 1 month ago | $6.39 | $845.07 | -15.5% |
| 3 months ago | $4.38 | $1,232.88 | +23.3% |
| 6 months ago | $5.7 | $947.37 | -5.3% |
| 1 year ago | $8.4 | $642.86 | -35.7% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $14.62 | $369.36 | -63.1% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our OSG forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $11.00 around 2040.
Implied market cap at $11.00: $495.15M
From 2027 onward, the forecast shows a steady earnings of price appreciation with an avg climbing from $5.93 in 2027 (ROI 9.8%) to higher levels by the mid-2030s. 2027 min $4.76, max $7.77; 2027 avg $5.93; ROI 9.8; sentiment NEUTRAL. 2028 min $4.70, max $8.16; 2028 avg $6.01; ROI 11.2; sentiment NEUTRAL; 2029 min $4.61, max $8.40; 2029 avg $6.02; ROI 11.4; sentiment NEUTRAL; 2030 min $4.70, max $8.91; 2030 avg $6.24; ROI 15.5; sentiment NEUTRAL.
Starting in 2031, sentiment shifts to BULLISH as the avg rises to $6.97 and the max climbs to $10.16 (ROI 29.1). From 2032 to 2035, the path strengthens: 2032 avg $8.38; max $12.43; ROI 55.3; 2033 avg $8.68; max $13.07; ROI 60.7; 2034 avg $9.02; max $13.80; ROI 67.1; 2035 avg $9.64; max $14.95; ROI 78.5.
The forecast continues with substantial upside: 2040 avg $14.05; max $23.10; ROI 160.2; sentiment BULLISH, and 2050 avg $21.46; max $38.40; ROI 297.4; sentiment BULLISH. These are estimates and illustrate potential upside over a long horizon, but are not guarantees and depend on market and company dynamics.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
The 2030 forecast shows an avg of $6.24 with a min of $4.70 and a max of $8.91; ROI is 15.5% and sentiment NEUTRAL.
Forecasts indicate neutral sentiment through 2030, turning bullish from 2031 onward, with 2031 ROI 29.1% and 2050 ROI 297.4% as the avg rises to $21.46 and the max to $38.40; these are estimates and not guarantees.
Yes. The 2031 forecast max is $10.16, with higher max values continuing in subsequent years (e.g., 2032 max $12.43, 2033 max $13.07).
Current price: $5.40. Market cap: $243.07M.
The 2040 forecast shows an avg of $14.05, a max of $23.10, and ROI of 160.2%, with sentiment BULLISH.
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