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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is projected to rise to $10.37 by 2027, a +6% move from its current price of $9.76. REFI is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 8/2/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3 | $9.65 | $9.76 | $9.88 | 0.00% |
| Aug 4 | $9.60 | $9.76 | $9.93 | +0.01% |
| Aug 5 | $9.56 | $9.76 | $9.96 | +0.01% |
| Aug 6 | $9.53 | $9.76 | $9.99 | +0.02% |
| Aug 7 | $9.51 | $9.76 | $10.02 | +0.02% |
| Aug 8 | $9.48 | $9.76 | $10.05 | +0.02% |
| Aug 9 | $9.46 | $9.76 | $10.07 | +0.03% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $9.46 | $9.76 | $10.07 | +0.03% |
| Week 2 | $9.34 | $9.77 | $10.21 | +0.05% |
| Week 3 | $9.25 | $9.77 | $10.31 | +0.08% |
| Week 4 | $9.18 | $9.77 | $10.40 | +0.11% |
| Week 5 | $9.11 | $9.77 | $10.48 | +0.13% |
| Week 6 | $9.05 | $9.78 | $10.55 | +0.16% |
| Week 7 | $9.00 | $9.78 | $10.62 | +0.19% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust in the United States. It engages in originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties.
The company's loan portfolio is comprised of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry. It has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami Beach, Florida.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) is a real estate investment trust focused on commercial mortgage lending. The stock is currently priced at $10.08 per share, and the company carries a market capitalization of $214.85M.
It is ranked 3678 by market capitalization. The current price and market position frame a forward-looking forecast that projects gradual upside, with the average yearly price rising from 2026 through 2050.
A major floor 11.5% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (0.0% away) — a key level to hold.
The nearest ceiling, 17.3% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 25.5% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key REFI support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of REFI market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $9.92 | Sell | $9.91 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $10.08 | Sell | $10.08 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $10.40 | Sell | $10.33 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $10.88 | Sell | $10.78 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $11.35 | Sell | $11.24 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $11.95 | Sell | $11.90 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 27.14 | Buy |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 0.00 | Buy |
| CCI (20) | -133.17 | Sell |
| Williams %R (14) | -100.00 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.05 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -8.96 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.05 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 0.00 | Buy |
| TRIX (15) | -0.33 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.75 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 20.46 | Buy |
| Momentum (10) | -0.86 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -96.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 9.77 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 26.56 | Sell |
| ATR (14) | 0.12 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is bearish at present, with RSI14 at 30. The stock trades below the SMA50 of $11.04 and the SMA200 of $12.02, indicating near-term downside pressure. The immediate support is at $10.08 and resistance at $11.45, with the latest 30-day range spanning from $9.26 to $10.98. Annualized volatility sits around 20%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $9.76 | $9.76 | $12.27 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $8.50 | $10.37 | $13.21 | +6% | Neutral | |
| $9.06 | $11.26 | $14.74 | +15% | Neutral | |
| $9.69 | $12.23 | $16.36 | +25% | Bullish | |
| $11.11 | $14.22 | $19.36 | +46% | Bullish | |
| $12.03 | $15.58 | $21.55 | +60% | Bullish | |
| $12.68 | $16.61 | $23.30 | +70% | Bullish | |
| $13.09 | $17.32 | $24.62 | +77% | Bullish | |
| $12.59 | $16.83 | $24.21 | +72% | Bullish | |
| $13.51 | $18.23 | $26.52 | +87% | Bullish | |
| $18.69 | $26.30 | $40.10 | +170% | Bullish | |
| $32.75 | $49.44 | $80.81 | +407% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | $9.76 | $9.76 | $11.86 | +0.00% |
| September 2026 | $8.57 | $10.05 | $12.04 | +2.93% |
| October 2026 | $8.32 | $9.79 | $11.83 | -2.51% |
| November 2026 | $8.29 | $9.80 | $11.90 | +0.02% |
| December 2026 | $8.46 | $10.04 | $12.27 | +2.48% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month REFI forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
The REFI price prediction for 2026 points to an average of $9.76 (low $9.76, high $12.27) — a potential gain of 0% on today's $9.76. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2027, REFI is projected to trade between $8.50 and $13.21, averaging $10.37 — a potential gain of +6% from today's $9.76. That is up +6% on the projected 2026 average. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 2028 outlook centres on $11.26, within a $9.06 to $14.74 range. That is up +9% on the projected 2027 average. That marks a +15% change versus current levels. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
By 2029, REFI could reach as high as $16.36, with a base case around $12.23 and support toward $9.69 — roughly +25% from $9.76. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect REFI to range from $11.11 to $19.36 through 2030. The $14.22 average target implies a +46% move from current prices. That is up +16% on the projected 2029 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The REFI price prediction for 2031 points to an average of $15.58 (low $12.03, high $21.55) — a potential gain of +60% on today's $9.76. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2032, REFI is projected to trade between $12.68 and $23.30, averaging $16.61 — a potential gain of +70% from today's $9.76. That is up +7% on the projected 2031 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 2033 outlook centres on $17.32, within a $13.09 to $24.62 range. That is up +4% on the projected 2032 average. That marks a +77% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2034, REFI could reach as high as $24.21, with a base case around $16.83 and support toward $12.59 — roughly +72% from $9.76. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect REFI to range from $13.51 to $26.52 through 2035. The $18.23 average target implies a +87% move from current prices. That is up +8% on the projected 2034 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The REFI price prediction for 2040 points to an average of $26.30 (low $18.69, high $40.10) — a potential gain of +170% on today's $9.76. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2050, REFI is projected to trade between $32.75 and $80.81, averaging $49.44 — a potential gain of +407% from today's $9.76. That is up +88% on the projected 2040 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Investing $1,000 in REFI today (≈ 102.459016 REFI) could be worth
$5,065.45
+$4,065.45 (+407%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected REFI price of $49.44 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in REFIwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in REFI on Jul 31, 2025 (≈ 76.982295 REFI) would be worth
$751.35
-$248.65 (-24.9%) today · 0.75× · US Dollar
Based on a REFI entry price of $12.99 vs. today's $9.76.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $10.17 | $959.69 | -4.0% |
| 1 month ago | $10.83 | $901.2 | -9.9% |
| 3 months ago | $12.01 | $812.66 | -18.7% |
| 6 months ago | $12.44 | $784.57 | -21.5% |
| 1 year ago | $12.99 | $751.35 | -24.9% |
| All time (4.6y) ago | $16.49 | $591.87 | -40.8% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our REFI forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $20.00 around 2040.
Implied market cap at $20.00: $426.29M
The multi-year forecast shows a path from neutral in 2026-2028 to steadily bullish from 2029 onward. In 2026 the min and avg are both $10.08 with a max of $12.77 and ROI of 0%; 2027 ranges from $8.82 to $13.73 with an avg of $10.76 and ROI 6.8%; 2028 ranges from $9.63 to $15.68 with an avg of $11.97 and ROI 18.7%. The 2029 forecast improves to an avg of $13.04 (ROI 29.3%, sentiment BULLISH) and then rises to an avg of $15.10 in 2030 (ROI 49.8%), $16.85 in 2031 (ROI 67.2%), $17.83 in 2032 (ROI 76.9%), $18.48 in 2033 (ROI 83.3%), $18.34 in 2034 (ROI 81.9%), and $19.85 in 2035 (ROI 97%).
The trajectory continues with a 2040 avg of $29.04 (ROI 188.1%), and a 2050 avg of $55.28 (ROI 448.4%), both with bullish sentiment. These figures illustrate a long-run bullish tilt, capped by the given max forecasts (e.g., $20.57 in 2030 and $90.37 in 2050) and subject to the usual investment risks and uncertainties inherent in forward estimates.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
The 2030 forecast shows an avg price of $15.10, with a min of $11.80 and a max of $20.57; ROI 49.8%; sentiment BULLISH.
Forecasts show a bullish path beginning in 2029, with an avg price rising to $29.04 by 2040 and $55.28 by 2050; ROI reaches 448.4% by 2050, indicating upside potential under the provided assumptions.
According to the forecast data, the max by 2050 is $90.37, so a $100 target is not supported by the given projections.
The 30-day range is $9.26 to $10.98.
Current price is $10.08 and market cap is $214.85M.
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